Arch Manning Commits to Texas for 2026, Standing Firm Amid College Football’s Transfer Portal Turmoil

Key Points

• Arch Manning confirms he will return to the University of Texas for the 2026 season.
• His decision comes after an up‑and‑down 2025 campaign that affected his draft projections.
• Manning remains the only five‑star QB from the 2023–2024 classes to never enter the transfer portal.
• His 2025 stats included 2,942 passing yards, 24 touchdowns, and eight rushing scores.
• Manning’s loyalty contrasts sharply with widespread quarterback movement across college football.

Arch Manning Chooses Stability as He Returns to Texas

Arch Manning has officially announced he will remain at the University of Texas for the 2026 season, ending weeks of speculation about whether the star quarterback might test the transfer portal. In an era defined by constant roster turnover, Manning’s decision positions him as a rare example of continuity in modern college football.

His return also signals confidence in his long‑term development, despite a season that saw both flashes of brilliance and moments of inconsistency.

A Season of Highs, Lows, and Lingering Questions

Manning entered the 2025 season as a preseason Heisman favorite, but his performance ultimately proved uneven. On paper, his numbers were strong:

• 2,942 passing yards
• 24 passing touchdowns
• 244 rushing yards
• 8 rushing touchdowns

However, deeper analytics painted a more complicated picture. His completion rate dipped to 61%, down from 68% in limited action the previous year. His yards per attempt also declined, raising concerns about decision‑making and accuracy.

At his best, Manning displayed the elite arm talent and mobility that made him one of the most coveted recruits in recent memory. At his worst, he struggled with consistency — a contrast that surprised analysts who expected a smoother sophomore leap.

A Lone Holdout in a Transfer‑Heavy Era

Manning’s decision to stay at Texas sets him apart from nearly every other elite quarterback in his recruiting tier. According to CBS, all eight five‑star quarterbacks from the 2023 and 2024 classes have entered the transfer portal at least once — except Manning.

The list of movers includes:

• Nico Iamaleava (Tennessee → UCLA)
• Dante Moore (UCLA → Oregon)
• Jackson Arnold (Oklahoma → Auburn → exploring options again)
• Julian Sayin (Alabama → Ohio State)
• Dylan Raiola (Nebraska → portal)
• DJ Lagway (Florida → portal)
• Malachi Nelson (USC → Boise State → UTEP)

In contrast, Manning has remained committed to Texas from day one, choosing stability over the increasingly common pursuit of immediate playing time or rapid system changes.

A Bet on Development — and the Long Game

Manning’s loyalty offers a refreshing counter‑narrative in a sport defined by constant movement. By choosing to grow within one system, he may ultimately strengthen his NFL prospects, giving scouts a clearer picture of his progression.

His return also provides Texas with continuity at the most important position as the program looks to build on its recent momentum.

What Happens Next?

Manning will enter the 2026 season with renewed expectations and a chance to reestablish himself as one of college football’s premier quarterbacks. With another year in the Texas system, the spotlight will be on whether he can turn flashes of elite play into consistent production — and whether his patience pays off on draft day.