The Iron Bowl returns this Saturday as No. 10 Alabama faces Auburn at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET, with Alabama entering as a 6-point road favorite according to DraftKings Sportsbook.
This historic rivalry always delivers drama, and while Alabama seeks its seventh consecutive win in the series, Auburn hopes to play spoiler at home.
Betting Lines and Key Player Props
Oddsmakers have set the total at 46.5 points, reflecting expectations of a competitive but defensive battle. The moneyline and spread lean toward Alabama, but not by a wide margin, underscoring the unpredictable nature of the Iron Bowl.
Quarterback Ty Simpson is a key player to watch for Alabama. He is coming off a season-low 147-yard performance, but a prop bet projects him to throw for 270+ yards (-136). Auburn’s pass defense ranks 110th nationally in EPA/Pass, giving Simpson a prime opportunity to bounce back.
For Auburn, running back Jeremiah Cobb will be crucial against Alabama’s stout defensive front. His ability to generate yards on the ground could determine whether Auburn keeps pace.
Historical Trends
Alabama has been strong against the spread this season, posting a 7-3-1 record. However, their performance on the road has been less consistent, covering only once away from home.
Auburn has struggled against the spread, sitting at 4-6-1. They covered at home for the first time just last week against a weaker opponent, which does not inspire confidence against a top-10 team.
Recent history at Jordan-Hare Stadium suggests a close contest. The last three Iron Bowls played there were decided by three points or fewer, highlighting Auburn’s ability to make the rivalry competitive on home turf.
Matchup Outlook
Alabama’s defense remains the decisive factor. The Crimson Tide rank among the nation’s best in limiting explosive plays, and their ability to pressure quarterbacks could disrupt Auburn’s offensive rhythm.
Simpson’s rebound performance, paired with Alabama’s defensive strength, positions the Tide to control the game. Auburn will need a near-perfect effort from Cobb and its secondary to keep the contest within reach.
Final Prediction
Expect a hard-fought Iron Bowl with momentum swings and emotional intensity. Auburn’s home-field advantage and rivalry history suggest a tight scoreline, but Alabama’s superior defense and overall talent should prevail.
Prediction: Alabama wins and covers the spread (-6).
